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The Black Swan

Nassim Nicholas Taleb G-9780141034591

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Përshkrim i shkurtër What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists?  

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Shtëpia Botuese

Penguin Books
ISBN9780141034591

1 800 Lekë

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 What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? And, why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', "The Black Swan" shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.

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Lloji i botimitMe kapak te holle
Faqe480
ISBN9780141034591
Viti i BotimitJanuary 1, 2008
GjuhaAnglisht